In the 244-year history of the United States, no president has yet been seen who refused to leave the White House after losing the election. But what happens if Donald Trump breaks new ground and refuses?
The legal and peaceful transfer of power has always been one of the expected steps in the US elections. Therefore, US President Donald Trump’s announcement that he does not accept Joe Biden’s victory has opened the door to an unexpected new situation in the country.
This is why analysts have begun to ponder scenarios that previously would have been unthinkable.
‘THIS CHOICE IS TOO FAR FROM THE END’
The election of the US people, who went to the polls on November 3, was not clear until November 7. Trump was playing golf near the capital, Washington DC, at the time when Biden was declared the winner of this election, according to unofficial results.
Trump’s campaign team soon released a statement insisting that “the election is far from over”.
“We all know why Joe Biden hastily declared victory, why his supporters in the media helped him. They don’t want the facts to come out. The simple truth is that this election is far from over,” said the Trump team’s statement.
On social media, it was noted that both Trump’s statements and the statements published by his team would continue to force the judicial remedy, and the existence of election fraud was mentioned without showing evidence.
JANUARY 20 CRITICAL THRESHOLD!
US law has a very clear stipulation that the current presidential term will end on January 20.
Joe Biden enlisted enough state households to manage to recruit 270 delegates required for him in the Selection Committee. Therefore, he qualified to sit in the chair for the next four years.
Donald Trump holds the right to appeal using legal and legitimate means, of course. But if there is no big surprise from the judiciary in the near future and Trump fails to convincingly demonstrate electoral irregularities for which he has not yet presented evidence, January 20 will be the date when the new president will take office.
Indeed, during the campaign, Trump was signaling that he might not admit defeat.
He said he was determined to remain in office no matter what the election officials said, and that the only way to lose the election was to resort to fraud.
Therefore, the country started to discuss what might happen if Trump insists on staying in office as threatened.
Even Joe Biden expressed his opinion on this possibility. In a television interview on June 11, comedian Trevor Noah asked Democratic candidate Biden if he “thought of the possibility of Trump insisting on staying in office.”
Biden said, “Yes, I thought about it,” and said that in such a situation, the army could step in and drive him away from the presidential seat.
Joe Biden also made a statement confirming that the election results will be determined by the voters, not the candidates: “It is the American people who will decide in this election, and the US government is capable of expelling those who are unauthorized in the White House.”
“MAY FIND SECRET SERVICE”
This work may fall to special units under the Ministry of Justice or to the Secret Service.
The Secret Service, whose mission is to protect the US President and his family, is actually a structure responsible for protecting former presidents and will continue to assume the protection of Trump after January 20.
After it became clear that Biden was elected president, the Secret Service stepped up its measures to protect Biden. Although Trump claims the opposite, Biden already has “presidential” level protection.
So what could happen if the most “irrational” scenario unfolds and Trump insists on leaving office? The BBC asked experts on the subject if it was possible for Trump to attempt to use state law enforcement to remain in office.
Professor of national security policy from Ohio State University. “A president who exploits law enforcement to stay in office after his apparent loss of elections would break vital norms. But that’s not entirely unimaginable,” says Dakota Rudesill. do a harm. ”
On the other hand, Prof. Rudesill adds that such a situation is unlikely to occur:
“Military personnel swear to abide by the constitution, not the incumbent politician. And the highest military official in this country, Chief of Staff Mark Milley, has repeatedly said that the military will not play any role in these elections.”
Keisha Blaine, an expert in social movements at the University of Pittsburgh, told the BBC: “Even the talk of the armed forces’ intervention in the elections shows that something is going bad in the country.”
“Four years ago, most Americans didn’t even wonder about it. But this has become a serious concern ever since we saw Trump dispatching federal law enforcement to places like Portland and Washington where the protests were taking place. taking into account that we cannot say that it is completely improbable. ”
With the outbreak of anti-racist protests mid this year, Trump dispatched federal law enforcement to certain areas to end the demonstrations. Trump’s step drew great reaction.
In a report published by the New York Times on June 5, Chief of General Staff Milley convinced Trump not to use the 1807 “Revolt Law”, which authorizes the President to use military force within the territory of the country in case of rebellion or internal turmoil. According to the newspaper’s claim, many military senior officials expressed their opinion not to cross this red line, even if they received orders in this direction.
Ultimately, Trump did not resort to the law and decided to deploy the national guards.
Non-military law enforcement agencies of the Department of Homeland Security took part in the actions in Washington, Portland and other US cities.
Therefore, in the tension over the election, speculation is being made that Trump may mobilize non-military personnel.
On the other hand, it seems difficult for Trump to take this step, as law enforcement is unlikely to fall into such a position for Trump’s political presence.
CAN VIOLENCE CLIMB ON THE STREETS?
Prof. Rudesill notes that he is also concerned about other scenarios associated with these. Pointing out that Trump’s ordering the military to stand by his side on January 20, he said, “For half the country and many in the world, the US military above politics will have taken a side. The army will never, ever accept such an order. he says.
There are those who emphasize the possibility that the current tense picture may trigger violence in other ways.
Keisha Blaine says that a situation in which the losing candidate does not accept the election results “has the potential to generate serious internal turmoil”. According to Blaine, this can increase protests and violence.
The already armed confrontation of protesters on the streets of certain US cities in recent months reveals that the potential for violence in the current political tension cannot be underestimated.