The most important measure to be taken in the coronavirus epidemic is to maintain social distance. It is so important to maintain social distance and stay at home, even if you meet only one of your friends, your risk of getting sick increases significantly.
Humanity has seen how serious and deadly the COVID-19 outbreak has been over the past few months. The number of global cases has now exceeded 2.7 million and the number of people who lost their lives is approaching 200,000. Experts point out the importance of social distance in the epidemic process.
Social distance is one of the most effective measures against the epidemic and the rate of transmission of the disease decreases as people take care to stay at home. Epidemiologists warn you not to have close physical contact with a single person outside your home. Scientists have explained the scientific reasons behind this seeming impossible warning.
What could happen if everyone visited only one friend during the epidemic?
A team of epidemiologists from the University of Washington sought answers to what the consequences would be if you visited only one person outside your home at home, without breaking the social distance. Although it seems low-risk, even if there is no elderly or immunocompetent in both homes, the risk of the epidemic spreading is higher than you might think.
Even the most likely scenarios, such as allowing children to play together, a teacher or trainer coming home, and close physical contact between two adults living in different households, can significantly increase connectivity among people. According to the research, if each household member visits only one person outside the home, the scenario gets much worse than you think.
The social environment in the epidemic carries greater risk from outside
When each individual member of the household meets a person outside the house, the risk of getting sick increases by 240% compared to the basic scenario. Thus, the risk of disease increases from 26.5% in the basic scenario to 90% for both families. On the other hand, even in a scenario where only one person per household visits only one person from another household, the risk of networking increases by 168%. The possibility of entering the risk group on a family basis increases to 71%.
According to the results of the research, you are much more likely to get the virus from your social circle, whether near or far from you. Of course, you also have an increased risk of transmitting the disease to households and other people. If we want to save lives and reduce the spread of this infection, the best measure we can take is to disconnect as much as possible with people outside our own household. Each link also brings a potential risk of disease. If we do not carefully practice social distance, the epidemic process will be further extended.