Electricity Bill Should Increase 21% Next Year, According To Aneel

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Electricity: As has happened in recent years, the electricity bill of Brazilian consumers should continue to increase in 2022. According to the National Electric Energy Agency (Aneel), the electricity tariff is expected to rise 21% in 2022.

The information was disclosed by Estadão this Friday (12), which had access to the internal document of the regulatory agency that forecasts the increase in the price of electricity. The Aneel file, which was issued last week, assesses the impact for next year of the current water crisis.

“Our estimates point to an average tariff impact scenario in 2022 of around 21.04%, when the entire universe of distributor costs is evaluated and these impacts of measures to face the water crisis are included”, informs an excerpt of the document

The value is an estimate and may not materialize. But the fact is that if the account increases, this value will surpass (a lot) the readjustment that Brazilians had to deal with this year and last year. In the accumulated, the electricity bill has risen 7.04% so far, in 2021, and about 3.25% (on average) in 2019.

To deal with the lack of rain, which ends up keeping the reservoirs low on water, the government has to activate the thermoelectric plants, which, in addition to being more expensive, are more polluting. This movement impacts the consumer’s pocket, since the electricity bills are called red flags.

Reasons for the increase

According to Estadão, Aneel used information from the National Electric System Operator (ONS) and the Electric Energy Trading Chamber (CCEE) to conclude that by April 2022, the energy sector should have a loss of R$13 billion.

The government also foresees another leak, of more than R$9 billion, whose cause is the contracting of the so-called “reserve energy”, which was contracted for May 2022. The intention is to avoid a possible rationing, which is an agenda that has been raised because of scarcity.

Worse than rationing, Brazilians also fear a blackout, which would be even more critical. Specialists and the Ministry of Mines and Energy (MME) have already confessed that the scenario is delicate.